It’s still with us and just hiding in the closet.  Most countries with severe COVID-19 outbreaks have come well down from their peak in new cases each day.  It’s happened in Italy, Spain, France, Germany, Turkey and, if you believe the official numbers, China.

But it has not happened in the United States. Here, the number of both confirmed new cases and deaths has fallen in the last few weeks.  Now, with many states reopening  their economies, the toll is likely to start rising again, according to a private T-RUMP administration forecast obtained by The Times. It projected about 3,000 deaths per day on June 1 and estimates will hit 130,000 by June 20th.

Why has the United States failed to bring down its caseload as much as most other countries?  The answer isn’t completely clear, given the complexity of the virus. But the leading suspect, many experts say, is the uneven nature of the US response — like the shortage of tests so far and the mixed approach to social distancing, and the lies and backstops of false, weak and negligent leadership.


ATCH 05-07-2020